Future Wars. Outline of the Problem

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34739/dsd.2020.01.06

Keywords:

War, Armed Conflict, Prognosis, Potential Adversaries

Abstract

The following article is devoted to identification of key aspects concerning future wars and armed conflicts, and to systematisation of the existing knowledge on this extremally interesting topic. The conducted analysis is based upon an assumption that it is necessary to, at least generally, outline prognoses of most probable types of wars and conflicts, and not just the single one and universal vision of the war and armed conflict. Use of the plural here is therefore fully justified, since elaboration of the single vision would be too much simplified an attempt that could negatively influence, not only the development of the theory of war and conflicts, but also their practice. A solution, thereby, to this problem required answering the following question: what will the future wars look like in relation to prognosed geopolitical conditions, development of the military technology, information warfare and the law?
While realising this study, theoretical research methods were employed, such as: synthesis, analysis, generalisation and comparison. However, due to the characteristics of the research field, a qualitative method, the scenario-based approach was crucial in realising the following study.

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Author Biography

  • Maciej Marszałek, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej, Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego

    prof., Ph.D. Eng., researcher and lecturer at the National Security Department of the War Studies University, head of the Department of International Security and Diplomacy. Member of the Executive Academic Board European Security and Defense College (EAB ESDC). Author and co-author of many publications on crisis management in the international dimension, including peace support operations, humanitarian operations, and the evolution of wars and armed conflicts around the world. The most important of them include: Fundamentals of International Security. The Military Dimension and Armed Conflicts. Part 1 [Podstawy bezpieczeństwa międzynarodowego. Wymiar militarny i konfliktów zbrojnych. Część 1] (2020). The Humanitarian Dimension of the Use of Armed Forces. Theory and Practice of Humanitarian Operations [Humanitarny wymiar użycia sił zbrojnych. Teoria i praktyka operacji humanitarnych] (2018) and Irregular Wars. Past and Future. Experiences and Conclusions [Wojny nieregularne. Przeszłość i przyszłość. Doświadczenia i wnioski] (2016). Supervisor of several Ph.D. dissertations

Published

08.08.2020

How to Cite

Marszałek, M. . (2020). Future Wars. Outline of the Problem. De Securitate Et Defensione. Security and Defense Journal, 6(1), 35-49. https://doi.org/10.34739/dsd.2020.01.06