POST-PANDEMIC MANAGEMENT OF HOUSEHOLD SPENDING IN POLAND, PART II

Abstract

Households are the oldest and most numerous units of society where the majority of social and economic processes start. For their effective operation, these economic entities need to have sufficient assets and acquire appropriate sources of financing them. The main purpose of this paper is to prepare a household expenditure forecast for 2023-25, assuming a large share of white-noise series resulting from the turbulent environment, and to verify the hypothesis about the linearity of the trend function and the statistical significance of the trend line coefficient. To eliminate random fluctuations and extract the development trend, an analytical method was used in which the parameters of the trend function were estimated. Using extrapolation of the trend function, forecasts of monthly per capita expenditures were calculated for subsequent years until 2025.